Sunday, 23 August 2026

Simulation Game - SPNE - Game Theory

 This is a simulation game to illustrate the Sub Game Perfect Nash Equilibrium concept in game theory:

This is an interactive simulation game designed to illustrate the Subgame Perfect Nash Equilibrium (SPNE) concept and Backward Induction in Game Theory.

📖 What is the Centipede Game?

The Centipede Game is a famous extensive-form dynamic game in game theory first introduced by economist Robert Aumann in 1981. Two players take turns deciding whether to "Take" (end the game and secure the larger share of the current pot) or "Pass" (pass the turn to the other player, causing the total pot to grow).

Key Concepts Demonstrated:

  • Subgame Perfect Nash Equilibrium (SPNE): A strategic equilibrium refinement where every player plays a Nash equilibrium in every subgame of the overall game.
  • Backward Induction: The analytical process of solving dynamic games by starting at the final decision node and working backward to determine optimal choices at each stage.
  • The Paradox of Backward Induction: Game theory dictates that rational players using backward induction will choose to Take on the very first move (resulting in the lowest overall payoff). However, experimental evidence shows human players frequently choose to Pass multiple times to build up higher collective rewards.

♟️ Centipede Game: SPNE & Backward Induction

Explore Sequential Dynamic Games, Subgames, and the Paradox of Backward Induction

$0
Player 1 Total
P1 Turn
Current State
$0
Player 2 Total

Node 1: Choose to Take (end game & take majority pot) or Pass (grow pot & pass turn).

🧠 Backward Induction Solver

Subgame Perfect Nash Equilibrium (SPNE) is found by solving the game backward from the terminal nodes.

Click the button above to trace subgames backward node-by-node.

Game History

Rnd End Node Action Payoffs (P1, P2)
SPNE & Backward Induction Simulator

♟️ Centipede Game: SPNE & Backward Induction

Explore Sequential Dynamic Games, Subgames, and the Paradox of Backward Induction

$0
Player 1 Total
P1 Turn
Current State
$0
Player 2 Total

Node 1: Choose to Take (end game & take majority pot) or Pass (grow pot & pass turn).

🧠 Backward Induction Solver

Subgame Perfect Nash Equilibrium (SPNE) is found by solving the game backward from the terminal nodes.

Click the button above to trace subgames backward node-by-node.

Game History

Rnd End Node Action Payoffs (P1, P2)

Tuesday, 4 November 2025

Derivatives - Mind Map

Wonder how a derivatives mind map looks like. Have a look at this notebookLM-generated image. This is an introduction to derivatives:





Game Theory-A Mind Map

 Here is a mind map on game theory I created with notebookLM: 




Friday, 24 October 2025

Commodity, Food Prices, and Inflation

These prices are published by a Kaggle user Lyle Begbie:

These charts capture the pulse of the global economy:


Tuesday, 20 May 2025

India's Defence Budget 2025-2026

The Indian defence budget has almost reached 7 trillion Rupees. Here is a breakup courtesy the Visual Capitalist:



Wednesday, 22 March 2023

Hedging with Futures Contracts

This video will help you understand hedging with futures contracts. A brief market outlook is also presented. Additionally, videos from experts in the domain are also featured:

Friday, 25 November 2022

Futures and Forwards

This video will help you understand futures and forwards. It looks at what futures and forwards are and the differences between them: